Many people who play pools argue that the draws are fixed . The draws are fixed, presumably, by a group of persons vaguely referred to as KORA. They argue that the football matches are not really being played, that the BBC commentaries are a hoax aimed at creating the impression that the matches are actually being played, when indeed the scores had all been previously fixed.
Now that satellites have started bringing some of the matches into sitting rooms, with well-known Nigerian players featuring before one’s very eyes, die-hard believers in fixed draws now argue that Kora, referees, goal-keepers and even footballers, are under instruction what match to draw and what match to cut . Even when snow or other accidents force matches to be abandoned or postponed, even when national newspapers carry vivid reports of English cup matches, the die-hards still believe that these are all grand exercises in deception. ‘If the draws are not fixed, why do we have specialists in cup systems? People dey wey know cup,’ they would usually argue.
Occasionally, some clever die-hard comes up with the notion that the matches were played very many years ago (One comes across all sorts of people in the pools world) If not, he would query, how can forty-nine matches be played all at the same time and the results announced in just five minutes? He would refuse to believe that correspondents could telephone or fax results that fast. The various cases of early- and late-kick-offs mean nothing to him. Others argue that the dramatic way in which certain matches end is clear evidence that the results, of those matches, at least, were indeed pre-determined. They would stress that they believe that a few matches are indeed played, but that that there were gazetted draws already agreed upon by the compilers.
To argue that the draws are not fixed in a pools office is one of the surest ways of making instant enemies for oneself. The fact is that pools players are mostly semi-literates and are also by nature gullible. The world of pools is a world of dream and mythical beliefs. To argue that the draws are not fixed is to attempt to destroy the dreams of thousands, possibly millions. The word fixed is clearly printed on the coupons and the search must continue for the fixed but hidden draws. The draws have been fixed by a special cult of compilers and with a little EXPO you would pass the examination!
The truth about fixed draws is that, it is the odds that are fixed. The odds are the difference between the amount that one stakes in a bet and the amount that would be paid to one if the bet were successful. When these odds are fixed, say as 1:40 or 1:60, they produce fixed odds pools. When the money to be won depends on other factors such as the amount lost by other stakers, the total number of draws for that week, Government tariffs etc. the winnings are paid out as dividends and the pools called Treble Chance. Dividends for the treble chance pools fluctuate but the winnings for the fixed odds pools are paid according to fixed odds rules clearly laid down before staking. It is the odds, therefore, that are fixed, not the draws.
The odds are fixed in such a manner that they are heavily against the staker . To be among the few who take more money out of pools than they put into it is a Herculean task. If one opens a book of accounts for one’s stakings and winnings the chances are that the account would leap away like a thing bewitched. It is dangerous for one to become desperate. Repeat: It is dangerous for one to become desperate.
But why is it difficult to genuinely win in the pools? The reason is that, on the average, only one game results in a draw out of every four games on the coupon. This means that there are three draws in every twelve games. The task before the fixed odds staker is the identification of these three draws and nothing else but these three draws. It is a very difficult task. That is the bitter truth. To very seriously worsen the situation, whenever the draws are many in a particular week, there are rules to make sure that one’s enhanced chances are deprived one as much as possible. For example, in most coupons, when the draws exceed thirteen, winnings are halved.
When the draws exceed fifteen, only a quarter of the winnings are paid. When they exceed eighteen only one-tenth of one’s winnings are paid. They are fixed against the staker.
The pools industry can continue to exist only by making profit. Stakers’ contributions are thus very essential. The odds are designed to ensure that the stakers put more money into the pools machine than they get out of it. Heavy losses are, in fact, most likely after weeks of substantial profit. To be successful is to break the rule. It is this in-built mathematically minimal probability of success that makes specialists warn that compulsive gamblers run the risk of ending up in prison, committing suicide or going insane.
Because of the very popular notion that the draws are fixed, pools players spend a lot of time searching for movements or sequences in the pools magazines that would lead to the discovery of the cruelly-hidden draws. These are accidental co-occurrences and are usually observed only after they have occurred. To the typical pools addict, however, these accidental sequences are carefully pre-arranged puzzles leading to the hidden draws. The treasure hunt thus continues week after week, month after month and year after year.
These sequences tend to fail when the pools player decides to use them. In reality, this is because, from natural experience, no accidental event can keep on occurring forever. In the pools world, however, sequences fail because they have finished working or simply because kora bad! Tremendous efforts are therefore put into discovering the sequences (systems) and using them before they stop working. This is, unfortunately, an exercise in futility since it is only what has happened that can be ascertained, not what will happen. The fact that a series of events have happened in the past is not enough guarantee that they would continue to happen in the future. Let us note and digest that simple bitter truth. Most third expectations fail.
10: CONSTRUCTION OF SYSTEMS
It is helpful to understand the basis for systems. British football analysts using the forms and traditional performance of their teamsn forecast which teams are most likely to play draws, have away victories or have home wins. There are several pools magazines where such selections are categorized and grouped. The average pools addict treats information in the pools magazines as puzzles. He is therefore quite ready to discover his sequence of draws from a magazine column forecasting home wins. And since the football analyst, like everyone else, cannot be a hundred percent certain what a match would result in, a column for homes could actually produce a glut of draws. This allows addicts to treat all information in pools magazines uniformly and without logical discrimination. If one walked into a typical pools office, one would see silent weather-beaten faces intensely studying the magazines. One needs not be deceived. They are not reading. They are searching for movements, that is, co-incidental arrangements.
An example could be: Whenever column A has XX marked against two teams consecutively, column B (This could be in another page or indeed in another magazine!) is to produce three draws from its first four teams. This, as would be obvious, is the use of past events to predict the future. It is at absolute liberty to fail, and usually fails.
15: TAKING RISKS
A British pools guide advises that one stakes only what one can afford to lose. This is an excellent advice. But many pools players are temperamentally optimistic persons and find it difficult to keep to this rule. They, therefore, occasionally borrow money to play pools.
They could also over-stake, that is, play games above the amount of money they have in hand, with the pools agent undertaking to cover the extra cost. This is called carrying. The understanding is that the staker would pay back the loan after winning.
There are weeks when playing beyond means would yield positive dividends but the long-run result is usually negative. Over-staking is a habit that must be fought and over-come. Most of the time the staker would be glad he did not stake that week. This includes weeks when a big temptation to stake heavily is generated through obsessive impressions like dreams. Such impressions, in the final analysis, are not benevolent revelations. They are more like sadistic suggestions of insidious forces, nearly always nearly right. They never offer a genuine break-through but also never fail to make a show of near-success. This ensures that the cat-and-mouse game continues endlessly. The ability to resist the desire to stake heavily is, therefore, more often than not, a form of winning. There is a saying that to worry about what one does not have is to waste what one has .
16: MYSTICAL POWER FOR WINNING
Shining games might be mere mirages, and dreams mere wishful thinking, but what of games revealed through spiritual power, real spiritual power? It is possible the reader has heard the story of the little girl who confessed to being a witch. She claimed, the reader would remember, that witches are capable of accurately forecasting draws in their coven. Pools stakers are then said to have besieged her and, after a long battle, cajoled her into releasing seven bankers. Come Saturday and the games played seven over seven! The little girl, however, was seriously punished for leaking official coven secrets.
Many such stories fly around in the pools world. If it is not some little witch, it is a strange white man, usually a sailor. The story usually ends with, ‘ That’s how Mr. So-and-So made his fabulous wealth’. And a minimum of three heavy sighs would escape from the spell-bound listeners as they return to their magazines, wagging their heads (in) a mixture of self-pity and grim determination.
If one must seek spiritual aid, it should not be in attempting to discover the draws. Aid in this direction is not likely at all. With Almighty God, His ways are manifest: labour, contentment with little, sustenance through the providential supply of those needs of one which one has no power of one’s own to meet. Going to Him in connection with draws, one would discover, is out of place. If one believes that prayers can be answered, pools is capable of pulling one out of that faith.
The kind of aid one could seek for (and this is important) is that against insidious forces. These are magnetic tendencies, which rule in the pools world. Their duty is to push the staker to choose wrong numbers and leave out the ones that would draw. The greatest ally to these forces is the staker’s own reasoning! The staker, therefore, always has to suspect his own reasoning because it is always being seemingly mysteriously tempered with. The aims are to generate in him a desire for bad numbers and a desire to stake heavily in weeks of universal sorrow and gnashing of teeth. Where his reasoning proves difficult to deceive, a fellow staker would often appear who would verbally echo those wrong thoughts in order to make them more attractive to the staker.
Very often too, the staker would need to change his agent or operational environment in order to come across luck. Agents who promote games (that is, they pocket the staker’s money hoping the games would fail) generate strong desires for the staker’s failure.
The staker’s loss is their gain. It is often necessary to flee from jinxed operational zones where recurrent patterns of failure have started to assume animate qualities. This is white metaphysical truth: the need to l insulate oneself from the power of negative mental health
This post was composed by Mr Luvday;